You can’t rely too heavily on schedule analysis to start the Fantasy Football season. Strong defenses seem to pop out of nowhere, and defensive units are moving pieces who will perform different from year to year.
Having said that, it generally takes more than a year for a poor defense to just reach mediocrity. We start to see trends develop over time during the season, but how can schedule analysis using data from 2014 help you before your 2015 Fantasy Football draft?
NFL teams had a field day when they faced NFC South opponents, as the Atlanta Falcons, New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished the 2014 season in the Top 10 for average points allowed per game. Again, these defenses are not going to turn into the Seattle Seahawks after just one season, so schedule analysis is an additional tool to help you make a decision.
On the opposite side of the spectrum, the Seahawks, Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers finished within the Top 10 for fewest points average points allowed per game. The St. Louis Rams are no pushovers, however, so it’s a very difficult division to make it out of.
I wanted to review some of the details from the schedule analysis that I found interesting and helpful before drafting.
2015 Fantasy Football Schedule Analysis: Quarterbacks
Easiest Quarterback Schedule: Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
As I mentioned earlier, the NFC South is not stacked with elite defenses. Winston has the benefit of playing six games against his division rivals, as well as games against the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars. This doesn’t mean he is going to be the best quarterback in Fantasy Football, but Winston has the opportunity for success with amazing targets and an easy schedule.
Toughest Quarterback Schedule: Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers
Big Ben has one of the most brutal schedules after his Week 11 bye.
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