Before we get into my FanDuel picks for Saturday, June 6, I thought I’d share some complaints about life.
Jake Odorizzi left Friday night’s game in Seattle with oblique tightness, despite pitching a gem after 4 1/3 scoreless innings.
That essentially screwed me on most of my FanDuel games
We need to come up with a name for this particular DFS pain point. Like a nickname for when you have everything rolling out like you expected, only to have something come in and drop a big dog turd on your plans.
I’m thinking a nickname like, an “Act of the Baseball Gods.” I think this is going to make me come up with a ton of nicknames for stuff like this. Color me unhappy!
Batter vs. Pitcher: Doug and I are in the same boat on how this information has become noise in the industry – although, we were both slow to convert. He wrote a great piece on why batter vs. pitcher stats aren’t something you should pay much attention to. But if you’re still into reading about BvP stats, you can check DailyBaseballData.com for that fix.
Rather than target hitters against certain pitchers, look at hitters vs. right- or left-handed pitchers. Doug put together two awesome charts for your perusal:
FanDuel Picks for Saturday, June 6
Top Starting Pitchers
Rather than do picks for the entire day, which take in the early games that a lot of you won’t be able to get in on because you’re reading this too late in the day, I decided to just write these FanDuel picks for the six “Night” games, which start at 7pm.
- Pittsburgh at Atlanta
- Detroit at Chicago White Sox
- A. Angels at N.Y. Yankees
- Louis at L.A. Dodgers
- Tampa Bay at Seattle
- Y. Mets at Arizona
Felix Hernandez, RHP, Seattle vs. TB ($11,800): One night after not seeing any aces, we have three to choose from tonight, and possibly a fourth depending on your thoughts on Garrett Richards. The Rays have played well this season, but King Felix owns them, and Tampa Bay has scored the second-fewest runs in the majors against right-handed pitching. Hernandez’s last outing turned into a disaster, but you’re hoping that keeps others away from him. In the other two starts this season where he scored fewer than 10 FanDuel points, he averaged 20 FanDuel points in his next outings.
David Price, LHP. Detroit at CHW ($11,000): Price has averaged 14 FanDuel points in his past three games, and he struck out nine White Sox hitters in eight innings back in mid-April for one of his best games of the season. The White Sox are batting just .206 vs. lefties this year.
Jeff Locke, LHP, Pittsburgh at ATL ($6,700): The Braves are hitting just .229 against left-handed pitchers this season, and he looks like a great tournament play tonight.
Top Hitters for Saturday, June 6
Here are two choices at each position; one is the best bet for production and the other is a lower priced option with a favorable outlook.
James McCann, Detroit at CHW ($2,200): Nice hitter’s park, good matchup vs. a lefty, what’s not to like? McCann has an early .901 OPS vs. LHP this season.
A.J. Ellis, L.A. Dodgers vs. St. Louis ($2,700): CHECK LINEUPS! But Ellis has served as Clayton Kershaw’s personal catcher in the past, and he started behind the plate in his last start. Ellis faces LHP Jaime Garcia, and he has a little better OBP vs. lefties. Yasmani Grandal could get the nod again, though.
Miguel Cabrera, Detroit at CHW ($4,900): Miggy has a home run in every 11 at-bats vs. lefties this season, and his .460 on-base percentage vs. left-handers should help offset this price in case he doesn’t homer against LHP John Danks.
Pedro Alvarez, Pittsburgh at Atlanta ($3,000): He’s probably the first basemen you’ll be stuck with if you loaded up on King Felix, but he has a good righty-lefty matchup vs. Julio Teheran today.
Neil Walker, Pittsburgh at ATL ($2,700): On an eight-game hit streak, so he’s seeing the ball well and he’s not injured. Plus he hits RHP pretty well at .284, 4 HR and 22 RBI in 169 at-bats.
Robinson Cano, Seattle vs. TB ($2,500): Just two RBI in June, but he’s at home, facing an inconsistent starter in Alex Colome, and he’s a solid cheap option with day-to-day upside.
Alex Rodriguez, N.Y. Yankees ($3,100): Garrett Richards actually has a worse ERA vs. righties right now (3.58), and A-Rod has good reverse splits vs. RHP, hitting .302 against them. He’s also batting .315 in May and June combined.
Nick Castellanos, Detroit at CHW ($2,200): Minimal price, optimal park and righty-lefty matchup (.366 OBP vs. LHP).
Jimmy Rollins, L.A. Dodgers ($2,700): Not a ton of stats against lefties this season, but the switch hitter isn’t coming at a bad price, either.
Brad Miller, Seattle ($2,400): I like Miller against RHP because he’s always cheap, and he hits RHP well – at least for a shortstop — .825 OPS vs. RHP this season.
Mike Trout, L.A. Angels at NYY ($5,100): Facing a rookie righty in Yankee Stadium, Trout is worth the price if you don’t spend big on pitching.
Yoenis Cespedes, OF, Detroit at CHW ($3,300): Actually has better reverse splits, but versus lefties, he has three homers and 12 RBI in 43 at-bats.
Alex Guerrero, L.A. Dodgers vs. STL ($3,000): Faces a lefty, and he’s batting .293 with eight homers and 19 RBI in 75 at-bats vs. LHP.
Seth Smith, Seattle vs. TB ($2,400): He’ll start vs. RHP Colome, so you’ll get a good platoon matchup at a cheap price.
Hopefully, we hit more homers than GIDPs with our FanDuel picks for Saturday, June 6, and you come out a winner!
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