Welcome to my FanDuel picks for Wednesday, June 17! My goal is to help put you on the winning side of a 50/50 game or too!
One suggestion I do have is to fill out a lineup in a Double-Up contest, also! Use the same lineup for both a Double-Up and a 50/50, and it’s basically like you’re hedging against a loss.
The way it works is – a Double-Up pays a little more money than a 50/50, but those tournaments also pay fewer entrants. So, if you happen to miss the cut in your Double-Up tournament by just a little bit, you’ll likely have scored enough to win in your 50/50 game, earning back your entry fees for both, minus about 5% total.
It’s little things like this that can help extend your Daily Fantasy Baseball life a little bit, as you try to build your bankroll and hit a big GPP tournament once in a while!
How does my Wednesday start? Well, once every six months or so, I like to hit Taco Bell for breakfast, which pretty much makes up my decisions for the rest of the day. It’s kind of like when a person gets a tattoo on his face – he has pretty much made up his decisions for the rest of his life. He’ll no longer have to wonder to himself, “Should I get a boring office job?”
Batter vs. Pitcher: Doug and I are in the same boat on how this information has become noise in the industry – although, we were both slow to convert. He wrote a great piece on why batter vs. pitcher stats aren’t something you should pay much attention to. But if you’re still into reading about BvP stats, you can check DailyBaseballData.com for that fix.
Rather than target hitters against certain pitchers, look at hitters vs. right- or left-handed pitchers. Doug put together two awesome charts for your perusal:
FanDuel Picks for Wednesday, June 17
Top Starting Pitchers
This is one of those awesome Wednesdays that has all 15 games going on tonight. That’s right, you get to choose between 30 starting pitchers! Usually, you only get to pick from about 22 or so on a Wednesday.
Weird Wednesday: This is one of only 2 Wednesdays all year with an entirely night-game slate in MLB. (The other: Sept. 16.)
— Tristan H. Cockcroft (@SultanofStat) June 17, 2015
Note that every game is also an interleague matchup tonight, which means AL teams will lose their DH in NL parks. NL Pitchers at home will have an extra opportunity to pick up strikeouts because they’ll be facing pitchers instead of DHs.
The seven NL pitchers at home facing AL teams (and AL pitchers at the plate) include:
- Kevin Correia, PHI vs. BAL
- Jordan Zimmermann, WAS vs. TB
- Alex Wood, ATL vs. BOS
- Johnny Cueto, CIN vs. DET
- Kyle Kendrick, COL vs. HOU
- Chase Anderson, ARI vs. LAA
- Clayton Kershaw, LAD vs. TEX
The seven AL pitchers on the road in NL parks, getting to face pitchers rather than DHs, include:
- Ubaldo Jimenez, BAL at PHI
- Matt Andriese, TB at WAS
- Joe Kelly, BOS at ATL
- David Price, DET at CIN
- Brett Oberholtzer, HOU at COL
- Hector Santiago, LAA at ARI
- Wandy Rodriguez, TEX at LAD
There are seven 7pm games and 8 games after 7pm, which means you could even get some action in on two different sets of games.
There are an extraordinary amount of left-handers (12) going on the mound today, including:
- Jon Niese, LHP, N.Y. Mets at Toronto
- Tsuyoshi Wada, LHP, Chicago Cubs at Cleveland
- Alex Wood, LHP, Atlanta vs. Boston
- David Price, LHP, Detroit at Cincinnati
- Jeff Locke, LHP, Pittsburgh at Chicago White Sox
- John Danks, LHP, Chicago White Sox vs. Pittsburgh
- Tommy Milone, LHP, LHP, Minnesota vs. St. Louis
- Brett Oberholtzer, LHP, Houston at Colorado
- Hector Santiago, LHP, L.A. Angels at Arizona
- Madison Bumgarner, LHP, San Francisco at Seattle
- Wandy Rodriguez, LHP, Texas at L.A. Dodgers
- Clayton Kershaw, LHP, L.A. Dodgers vs. Texas
Clayton Kershaw, LHP, L.A. Dodgers vs. TEX ($12,300): Are you ready to forgive King Felix for last week’s smoldering turd? I’m not. So I like Mr. Kershaw, for $900 more, instead. Hernandez has allowed 16 ER in his past three starts (12 IP, 21.33 ERA), but that could make him a decent GPP play, actually. As far as Kershaw, it’s true that the Rangers are one of the best scoring teams in the league, but their 183 strikeouts vs. lefties is the second-most in the majors.
David Price, LHP. Detroit at CIN ($10,900): This could be a pitcher many people lean away from because of the ballpark and the price. But the Reds strike out more against lefties, and while they do hit more homers vs. lefties, Price hasn’t given up a home run in his past five games. He has back-to-back complete games, and he has a 0.83 ERA in the past three weeks.
Jordan Zimmermann, RHP, Washington vs. TB ($8,200): The Rays have one of the lowest OPS against righties this season (.671, and only two teams have fewer homers vs. RHP, and just two have fewer total bases vs. RHP. Plus, Zimm gets the benefit of facing a pitcher in the batter’s box.
Jeff Locke, LHP, Pittsburgh vs. STL ($6,800): The Cardinals are hitting just .226 against left-handed pitchers this season, and he looks like a great tournament play tonight. St. Louis also has the fifth-most strikeouts versus lefties.
Top Hitters for Wednesday, June 17
Here are two choices at each position; one is the best bet for production and the other is a lower priced option with a favorable outlook.
Francisco Cervelli, Pittsburgh at CHW ($2,900): Nice hitter’s park, good matchup vs. a lefty, what’s not to like? Cervelli is batting .452 in 31 at-bats vs. LHP this season.
A.J. Pierzynski, Atlanta vs. Boston ($2,500): Pierzynski is batting .295 vs. righties, which is among the leaders for catchers, and he’ll be going up against one of his former teams.
Anthony Rizzo, Chicago Cubs at CLE ($4,200): As much as you’d have to pay for Goldschmidt ($5,900), you’d actually be better off saving a few bucks and hoping Goldy has an off night. Rizzo faces RHP Shaun Marcum, and most of Rizzo’s power is coming against righties (10 HR, 29 RBI), with a .544 slugging percentage.
Clint Robinson, Washington vs. TB ($2,300): Starting in Ryan Zimmerman’s place, Robinson homered Tuesday night and he has a nice lefty-righty matchup vs. Andriese (5.68 ERA vs. LH batters).
Brian Dozier, Minnesota vs. St. Louis ($4,200): With nine homers and 33 RBI against righties, Dozier leads the position, although, he brings a hefty price tag.
Joe Panik, San Francisco at SEA ($3,100): If you’re banking on King Felix and his struggles, then rostering Panik in a GPP is a smart idea. He hits nearly .300 vs. righties, and he has 25 runs scored against them.
Manny Machado, Baltimore at PHI ($3,500): One of the hottest third basemen around right now, and he gets to hit at a hitter’s ballpark. He has five homers this month, behind just five players from any position.
Luis Valbuena, Houston at COL ($3,300): Speaking of red-hot June sluggers, the only two hitters with more homers in June than Valbuena are Giancarlo Stanton and Albert Pujols. He’s hitting at Coors Field, and he homered twice last night.
Jhonny Peralta, St. Louis at Minnesota ($3,700): He’s stellar against right-handers, but Peralta has as many homers (five) against lefties as righties, in less than one-third of the amount of at-bats.
Xander Bogaerts, Boston at Atlanta ($2,600): Not a ton of cheap/good options at shortstop, but at least Bogaerts is batting .333 against lefties.
A.J. Pollock, Arizona vs. LAA ($3,300): He’s batting .382 with close to a 1.000 OPS against lefties, and he’s hitting at home in a hitter’s park.
Andrew McCutchen, Pittsburgh at CHW ($3,000): Nice hitter’s ballpark and LHP John Danks as the opposing pitcher.
Travis Snider, Baltimore at PHI ($2,400): He’s a cheap option in the back of Baltimore’s lineup against RHP, and he’ll face a stinker in Kevin Correia in a hitter-happy park.
Good luck with your FanDuel picks for Wednesday, June 17!
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