Week 2 was a much stronger week for my Start or Sit article. You know, outside of saying to sit Matt Forte who then was the top-scoring back of the week.
In my defense, it took a career high in carries for Forte, as well as touchdowns. If you saw that coming, then let’s go to Vegas. Now.
Pretty much all of my “Starts” out-performed their projected rank with the exception of Eli Rogers. Rogers got lost in the shuffle of the Steelers’ offense, which does not bode well for his consistency going forward.
I did give you Matt Ryan and Travis Benjamin, who both ended up as the second highest scoring player at their position.
My Starts Tevin Coleman, Matt Jones and Kyle Rudolph out-performed their rankings while sits Andrew Luck, Jonathan Stewart , Jason Witten and Sammy Watkins all under-performed.
This week is a much tougher challenge, as the running back position has just gone through a rinse/wash/replace.
Once again, I am going to focus on guys that are ranked outside of the Top 30 RB/WRs and Top 12 QB/TEs for my “starts,” and inside the Top 20 RB/WRs and Top 8 QB/TEs for my “sits.”
(All consensus rankings are based off the staff consensus rankings for each position.)
Week 3 Start or Sit
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears
Two things are in Prescott’s favor. The first thing is that Chicago is terrible. I mean bad. Fellow rookie Carson Wentz just eviscerated them Monday night. The other thing going for Dak is that he has failed to throw a touchdown in his first two games.
He has had plenty of good opportunities but his receivers haven’t made the easy play to complete the score. That ends this week, as I see him getting 250 passing yards, 35 rushing, with 2 touchdowns.
Joe Flacco, QB, Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
I mean, did you see what Philip Rivers did to Jacksonville last week, without his top two targets? Flacco can be had on most waiver wires and is a solid start this week. 325 and 3 touchdowns for the Raven.
Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints
Coleman is still ranked behind Devonta Freeman and out of the Top-20 among running backs. He is a must-start against the putrid Saints’ defense. If other people keep ranking him after Freeman, he will keep showing up on my Start list. He will surpass 100 total yards off of at least 4 catches.
Dwayne Washington, RB, Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
This is for deeper leagues, but Washington does have value with Ameer Abdullah going to the IR. Theo Riddick will be the lead back in Detroit, but he is not exactly a between-the-tackles runner. I think Washington gets more carries than people are thinking right now, including some goal line touches. Give me 12 carries for 70 yards and a touchdown.
Mike Wallace, WR, Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Just copy and paste everything about Philip Rivers and replace his name with Travis Benjamin. 120 yards and a touchdown for Wallace.
Tajae Sharpe, WR, Tennessee Titans vs. Oakland Raiders
#Titans WR snaps through 2 weeks:
Tajae Sharpe 98%
Rishard Matthews 53%
Harry Douglas 42%
Andre Johnson 29%
— Chris Raybon (@ChrisRaybon) September 21, 2016
The Raiders gave up a ton of yards to the Falcons last week and Julio Jones ended up with 5-106-1. Now Sharpe is not Jones, but he is definitely Tennessee’s top option. He had a decent game last week, that would have been better had his touchdown not gotten called back for a penalty that had nothing to do with the play. I think he breaks out this week for 7-95-1.
Jamison Crowder, WR, Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants
I have a feeling that the Giants will play the Redskins similar to how they did the Cowboys. Their safeties will shell over the top against DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, leaving the middle of the field open for Crowder as it was for Beasley. A deeper, PPR league play, but I think Crowder gets 7 catches for 75 yards.
Jacob Tamme, TE, Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints
I don’t know what I’m missing here. Tamme has at least 8 targets in both games this season, with at least five catches and at least 51 yards. His PPR point totals were 11.1 and 18.5. He is playing the Saints. He is a must start this week. I think he matches last week with 5 catches, 75 yards and a touchdown.
Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers
After a transparent first game of the season, Graham was actually the second leading receiver on the Seahawks last week.
This week he gets San Francisco, which gave up five catches for 122 yard and a touchdown to Greg Olsen. I think Russell Wilson is still a little gimpy, meaning he will need to look over the middle/shorter for Graham. Therefore I think Jimmy returns to form with a 6-90-1 stat line, and is the most coveted tight end on the waiver wire next week (if not already owned).
Dallas Cowboys D/ST vs. Chicago Bears
The last time Bears’ starter Brian Hoyer started an NFL game, he was 15-34, for 136 yards, and FOUR interceptions while getting sacked three times. The Cowboys seemed to be finding their own on defense and I think they get to Hoyer repeatedly.
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers vs. Minnesota Vikings
I know, you probably don’t have a better option this week. I just don’t think Cam will be a Top-10 play against Minnesota. The Vikings just handled Aaron Rodgers quite well, and while this game is in Carolina, I think they can keep Newton under control. I think Dak Prescott comes close to Newton’s stats this week.
Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
Since the crazy Week 17 matchup a few years back that Stafford threw for 520 yards in Green Bay, he has yet to surpass 264 yards in Cheese-head country. If he is not getting yards, I don’t think he will be viable. Give me Flacco and Marcus Mariota over Stafford this week.
LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals held the Buccaneers in check with no back getting more than 29 yards. Greg Roman was fired as the Bills’ OC (scapegoat more like) so there could be some growing pains
Spencer Ware, RB, Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Jets
On the road, with a short week, the Jets held the Bills to just 86 yards rushing. Throw in the fact that Jamaal Charles will probably be back this week and Spencer Ware is not a Top-24 play this week.
Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles is expected to make his debut in week 3 against the Jets, per source. https://t.co/2WpMGV6Uhn
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) September 18, 2016
A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos
Now take this with a big asterisk as most people will not have another option better, but I don’t think Green is a Top-24 wide out this week. Throw in the fact that he is on baby watch and could miss the game, and I would stay away from Green if possible.
It’s baby watch time for A.J. Green, whose wife is expecting their first child. Bengals coach Marvin Lewis said… https://t.co/DjKTf1Q0ba
— Katherine Terrell (@Kat_Terrell) September 21, 2016
****UPDATE: A.J. Green welcomed his baby and will not miss the game. However I would still shy away in daily formats.****
Stefon Diggs, WR, Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers
Diggs blew up last week as the top-scoring receiver of the week. Sam Bradford seem to look quite often towards the second year pro but I think this changes against the Panthers. On the road will be a different story to begin with, beside the fact that Carolina’s secondary is much stronger than Green Bay’s defensive backs.
Rob Gronkowski/Martellus Bennett, TE, New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans
Jacoby Brissett does not exactly evoke confidence in starting any of the Patriots pass-catchers this week. Right now, these two are ranked 11th and 12th among tight ends, respectively. I am out on either one if possible and going with Jacob Tamme or Clive Walford.
There’s your Week 3 Start or Sit plays! If you have any lineup questions, shoot them to us on Twitter at @Tomlin3 or @SoCalledFanEx.
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