For 2015, the So-Called Fantasy experts will be hacking Fantasy Football leagues to help you with your draft preparation. If you missed our first series on Joique Bell and Ameer Abdullah, make sure you get caught up!
The Miami Dolphins, however, decided to make a big investment in Ryan Tannehill and surround him with more weapons. Kenny Stills was added as a deep threat, Jordan Cameron was signed as a red-zone target, DeVante Parker was drafted to beef up the red-zone targets and veteran Greg Jennings signed a two-year deal. The new signees all serve a specific purpose for the Miami’s passing attack, so where does that leave Landry?
Devante Parker and Kenny Stills are the starting WRs when Ryan Tannehill is doing his 7-on-7s. Jarvis Landry is his slot WR.
— Omar Kelly (@OmarKelly) June 1, 2015
I was intrigued when I saw a post on Reddit about Landry and his touchdown production heading into 2015, so I wanted to analyze the second-year receiver’s value in 2015 Fantasy Football leagues as a whole.
The 2015 Value of Jarvis Landry
Odell Beckham Jr., Mike Evans and Kelvin Benjamin stole the show when it came to rookie wide receivers, but Jarvis Landry had a productive first year with Miami Dolphins. He had a slow start to the season (as most rookie do), but really found his stride in the offense after Week 8. Remember, it takes time to build chemistry and learn a playbook, even if Beckham Jr. and Evans made it look too easy.
After Week 8, Landry averaged 6.5 receptions and 55.8 yards per game. In leagues that award one point per reception, that is an average of 11 points per game. While he didn’t produce mind-blowing numbers, this was a promising showing of what to potentially expect from the young receiver. With offensive coordinator Bill Lazor helping quarterback Ryan Tannehill and Lamar Miller reach new levels of Fantasy Football production, Landry appeared to be next in line for a boost.
Landry is 5-foot-11, so he isn’t anyone’s definition of a red-zone threat. The author of the piece, however, gives us a pretty big reason to like Landry in 2015. Charles Clay, Mike Wallace and Brian Hartline were collectively targeted in 57.3% of Tannehill’s red zone attempts, and each player is now on a new team. It also helps that Landry has hands as big as a boat (10.25″), and he hauled in 75% of the Tannehill’s targets in his rookie year.
While the comments went slightly off topic and Zach Mettenberger was mentioned way too often, most of the replies seemed to be fans of Landry. For a receiver who has a lot of potential, Landry has a favorable ADP in Round 6 on FantasyFootballCalculator.com. You aren’t investing a super-early pick to find out what he can do, and you can still reap some major benefits if he hits the top part of his ceiling.
Caution in Drafting Jarvis Landry
When hacking Fantasy Football leagues, you also have to play a little bit of a role as the Devil’s advocate. If Landry has an ADP in Round 6, Parker could be an extreme value in Round 10.
In 2014, the Dolphins only scored 51.4% of the time when inside the 20-yard line. That was a big dip from scoring 56.5% of the time a year earlier. OC Lazor stated it was his job to improve those numbers, but he will also have a few more options to actually increase the team’s scoring capabilities in 2015.
Over the last few seasons, I think the Dolphins have done a solid job in identifying issues and trying to fix problems. The Dolphins made an investment in the 2014 NFL Draft to protect Tannehill by selecting offensive tackle Ja’Wuan Jamaes in Round 1, and offensive tackle Billy Turner in Round 3. The line did struggle to stay healthy, however, and Tannehill was the third-most sacked quarterback last season. Still, I like the Dolphins’ efforts in trying to make the right investments.
So when Miami acquired 6-foot-5 Cameron and 6-foot-3 Parker, you have to expect that they will be the main targets in the red zone. Landry may find his way in here or there, but the verbal admittance that the red-zone attack was lacking last year would at least signify to me a strong effort to feed Cameron and Parker. Landry still has value in PPR formats, but I think he is a little more risky in standard scoring leagues. If Stills takes the deep ball, Cameron and Parker are red-zone targets and Miller is a dual-threat back involved in the passing attack, that doesn’t offer a ton of extra looks for Landry.
It appears that most people appreciate Landry, and while I was an admirer before the offseason, I’m a little more cautious with so many receivers to feed.
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