The Week 3 stock report is very much like the actual stock market. Compared to the Week 2 report, some guys that were rising are now falling, while some that were falling are now rising.
But that is the nature of the NFL. Between matchups, injuries, and pure luck, a player can be an elite option one week and unstartable the next. So with the Week 3 stock report I am focusing on guys for not just the next week but the rest of the season.
As much as I don’t want to overreact in the Week 3 stock report, you have to remember the brevity of the NFL and Fantasy Football season. I mean these guys are nearly 13% done with their regular season and some leagues are over 15% done with their Fantasy regular season.
So we work with the data we have to try and project what will happen going forward. Hopefully the Week 3 stock report can help out.
Week 3 Stock Report
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
I am not one for hot takes or hyperbole just for the sake of it, but I am not sure any player’s stock could be as high as Mahomes right now. No quarterback in the history of the sport has as many touchdowns in the first two games of the season.
— ProFootballReference (@pfref) September 17, 2018
He has not thrown a pass that was even close to intercepted. He hasn’t had to use it much, but he is still averaging almost 20 yards rushing a game. This is not your normal former Red Raider quarterback folks (speaking of, I would get on Alan Bowman in DEVY leagues immediately!!). He is 100% the real deal. I said last week that he is becoming an elite option. Well that time is already here.
Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Fitzmagic just went for back-to-back 400-yard passing weeks. That is only the fourth time it has happened in the last 33 years. (The other three? Philip Rivers, Tom Brady and…. Billy Volek.) There is no way Winston starts when he is available, and I would bet he will not be on the roster by mid-season.
Blake Bortles, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars
Bortles had a solid 377 yards passing and four touchdowns against the Patriots. His Jags are 2-0. He has a 5-2 touchdown to interception ratio. He has a sneaky-good start to the season, when you factor in that Jacksonville did not have to pass much in Week 1.
Matt Breida, RB, San Francisco 49ers
Breida seemed poised to break out after Jerick McKinnon went down, but he had a very disappointing Week 1. He bounced back strongly though with 24.9 PPR Fantasy Points in Week 2, including 138 rushing yards. Now this could be a tale of two defenses, going against arguably the best unit (Minnesota) in the first week and arguably the worst unit (Detroit) in Week 2. Either way, if he can put elite stats against less than elite defenses, he is still a very usable player.
Chris Thompson, RB, Washington Redskins
Thompson had THIRTEEN catches Sunday against the Colts. Alex “Checkdown” Smith has found his new favorite target. With the ineptitude of the Redskins’ rushing game (Jamison Crowder was their leading rusher) Thompson becomes the de facto rushing attack with the short passing game. I predict he will cross 125 catches this season barring injury.
Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons
As we all thought he would, Coleman stepped in nicely as the lead back with Devonta Freeman out. There is a growing sense that Coleman might be a better back overall. Either way, he did the hard work of putting up solid running back production without scoring a touchdown.
Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen, WR’s, Minnesota Vikings
I was somewhat skeptical that Kirk Cousins could keep both of these guys as elite options but boy was I wrong. Through two weeks the duo has combined for 40 catches, 413 total yards and four touchdowns. They were the WR1 and WR2 in Week 2. They are must-starts every week. I was wrong.
DeSean Jackson, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
You’re NFL leader in receiving yards for the first two weeks: DeSean Jackson. Who would have thought it was Ryan Fitzpatrick that would unlock the full potential of Jackson in the Buccaneers offense. I had said I wanted another week of consistency and Jackson blew it away with a 75-yard touchdown on the first drive of the game. He is STILL available in 38.7% of ESPN leagues as of this writing.
Jesse James, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers
James has gotten extensively better at working the middle of the field as defenses focus on Antonio Brown and Juju Smith-Schuster. Even in Roethlisberger’s “bad” game he was able to catch 3 passes for 60 yards. During the Big Ben “good” or home games, James will be a must start.
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers
Somehow, Roethlisberger actually outscored Mahomes in standard quarterback scoring formats. Why is he steady then? Because he is who we thought he was! Week 1, on the road, Big Ben put up a grand total of 9 Fantasy Points including four turnovers. Week 2, at home, he was the leading scorer in all of Fantasy Football. His home/road splits have been talked about enough, but it is definitely for real. This week: on the road against Tampa Bay and Fitzmagic.
James Conner, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers
Being down 21-0 really does not lead to much of a rushing game script, so I will give Conner a pass on the 17 yards rushing. He was able to catch five passes and get in the end zone still to have a nice Fantasy day. With no LeVeon Bell in sight, Conner remains a solid RB2 in my mind.
Josh Gordon, WR, New England Patriots
That felt weird to even type, but I am holding my thoughts until Gordon shows that he is healthy and gets through a week with Bill Belichick’s eyes on him. Should this be the final wake-up call the receiver needed? Then he could end up in the WR2 territory. If he does not learn? He will be droppable within a couple of weeks.
Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks
— Samuel Gold (@SamuelRGold) September 18, 2018
This has less to do with Wilson and much more to do with his surrounding cast. His offensive line is an absolute mess giving up 12 sacks in the first two games. He is down his best receiving for the time being. If not for garbage time yesterday, his stat line would have been putrid. With so many other great options now at quarterback, Wilson will be a matchup play only going forward.
Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans
82 yards on 28 carries over the first two weeks has Henry-believers like me at a loss for words. A 2.92 yards per carry mark is just not going to get it done. The only good news is Dion Lewis was not much better, but Henry should probably be benched until he can prove himself worthy.
Adrian Peterson, RB, Washington Redskins
Just like last year after his massive first day with the Cardinals, Peterson came back to Earth in his second game in 8 days. This is where having a back over the age of 30 can really hamper you. After just 20 yards on 11 carries, it is tough to trust in AP going forward on a week-to-week basis.
Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos
Simply put, Thomas was not good Sunday. He had at least three drops that were absolutely awful. He caught only 5 of 11 targets for 18 yards. That is a sparkling 1.63 yards per target. With a quarterback he has not worked much with, I’m wondering at what point Case Keenum starts looking elsewhere more often.
Allen Hurns, WR, Dallas Cowboys
Seen as the top option on the team going into the season, Hurns has been far from that. He and Dak Prescott just have not gelled at all. This has worked out to just 2 catches for 29 yards over the first two games. Dak’s passing game is anemic enough that you cannot afford to hold onto a secondary option. Cut ties and find a player with more upside.
Chris Hogan, WR, New England Patriots
I know, it’s tough to say a guy who had two touchdowns is trending downward. However, with the Gordon signing and the fact that Brady is looking Philip Dorsett’s way more often, I do not like Hogan’s outlook. Toss in the fact that Edelman will be back in a couple of weeks and almost every other team cannot defend Gronk as well as Jacksonville, and it might be the perfect time to trade Hogan.
Charles Clay, TE, Buffalo Bills
The Bills’ offense is even worse than imagined. I almost feel bad for the guy. Maybe he should just retire at halftime, it seems like a solid plan.
That’s it for the Week 3 stock report! Check back next week as our senior writers start rotating between columns.
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