Another profitable week of Daily Fantasy Football is in the books. My only regret is not updating this blog.
Obviously, Jordan Reed being cleared to play really hurt my selection of Derek Carrier. Jordan Reed went absolutely nuts in Week 7, so do I get a tiny bit of credit for nailing the right team? Probably not, nor do I want credit for it.
This week it’s all about the Fitzmagic, but more on that later.
The prices are a little stiffer this week, which is probably a good thing. Last week there were so many chalk plays it almost was laughable. However, there are still plenty of obvious plays. Todd Gurley and the Rams defense remain an almost must in my opinion. They both received a bump in price, but not enough to scare me off.
Anywho, enough of my intro. Let’s talk Daily Fantasy Football DraftKings picks!
Week 8 DraftKings Picks
Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens ($6,600)
As I’m typing this, I noticed that Carson Palmer was in this spot last week, for $100 more. He faced the same Ravens defense as well. However, Palmer hasn’t been averaging 52.25 attempts a game over his last four games. The Chargers don’t trust their running game, unless you include short passes to Danny Woodhead. Rivers will be cash game safe with a ton of tournament upside.
Ryan Fitzpatrick, New York Jets vs. Oakland Raiders ($5,200)
So, last week I predicted 300 yards and two TDs. Well, Fitzmagic went for 295 and two. I fully expect all of that this week. The Raiders secondary has been better, but they have yet to see a duo like Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker. They did face Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders earlier this year and it turned out swimmingly for both and this was with a broken Peyton Manning. Imagine what’s going to happen with a quarterback who can actually throw. Fitzpatrick’s discount is too low to ignore.
Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($8,000)
Look, last week was a good game by NFL standards, but by Fantasy standards it was sort of a letdown. Sure, Freeman clipped the 100-yard mark but scored zero touchdowns. A nice juicy match-up versus the Bucs is just what the doctor ordered. Hopefully, recency bias keeps his ownership low. I’m in on Freeman again this week.
Justin Forsett, Baltimore Ravens vs. San Diego Chargers ($6,100)
This game is going to be all about the offense. The Chargers are 31st vs. the run and while Forsett didn’t get much work on Monday vs. the Cardinals, I fully expect that to change on Sunday. Forsett is one of my favorite plays this week. There is going to be a lot of focus on LeVeon Bell and Devonta Freeman. Forsett is going to be a great tournament play.
Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($9,200)
Julio is the most expensive player this week and for good reason. There is literally no one to cover him in Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay ranks 29th against the wide receiver position. Last week, Julio had nine receptions for 92 yards and a touchdown. He should’ve had a second TD, but since no one in the NFL knows what a touchdown is anymore, he didn’t. Oh well, I’ll be doing the dirty bird after Julio puts on a clinic.
Eric Decker, New York Jets at Oakland Raiders ($5,300)
Here is my stack with Fitzpatrick. I usually always pair my quarterback with my receiver and this week is no exception. You can use Brandon Marshall and he may be even less owned than Decker, but are you willing to pay $2,300 more for a receiver who could have less production? I’m not. I love Decker this week.
Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears ($4,800)
I really don’t want to buy into the Stefon Diggs hype train, but I also don’t like losing money and at $4,800 he’s awfully hard to ignore, considering I want to spend up on my running backs. Diggs also makes for nice cap relief for high-end receivers as well. The Bears could have a rough day on their hands trying to slow down Adrian Peterson and Diggs.
Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins ($8,000) (Thursday)
Gronk is going to be very tough to fit in, but if you can pull it off, it will pay dividends. Gronk averages 22 points a week on DraftKings. The next closest is Gary Barnidge who averages 17.6. Even on Barnidge’s best week he still needs an extra touchdown to get to Gronk’s level. If you are playing Thursday, get him in there.
Jonathan Stewart, Carolina Panthers vs. Indianapolis Colts ($4,100)
Are you one of those players who likes to have a Monday sweat? I am. Well, I present you with Jonathan Stewart who is underpriced and faces an aimless Colts team. The Saints went nuts on the ground last week and I suspect the Panthers will too. Stewart is a great tournament play as he can be vultured at any minute, which is why he is so appealing. Over the last two weeks has have been averaging 22 carries. I’ll take my chances.
St. Louis Rams ($3,200)
The formula is simple here. At Home vs. Colin Kaepernick. Run the ball, limit offensive opportunities and rely on the defense to dominate. This reminds me of the ’99 Titans. This really isn’t a week to mess around trying to find an ultra cheap defense. The Rams will be my weapon of choice.
Other things of Note
- There are two games with a 50 over-under at the time of this writing. One of those games is the Patriots vs. the Dolphins on Thursday. Lamar Miller is only $4,700 this week and I expect his ownership to be very high after his performance last week, but to me this screams fade. I will be fading Miller this week.
- Is Ben Roethlisberger going to play? All signs point to yes. If he does, I will be in on Antonio Brown and Ben. I expect the ownership to be low due to injury risk. I really like this stack and I’m willing to throw away a few bucks to find out if it pays off or not.
- This is not a revelation, but I will be targeting the Ravens/Chargers game. This is the other game that carries a 50 over-under. I love Rivers and Forsett in this one.
- Unlike last week, I expect the Thursday game to have a lot of overly owned players. Expect higher usage rates on Tom Brady, Danny Amendola and Jarvis Landry. I even expect Ryan Tannehill to be heavily owned.
Good luck this week in your Daily Fantasy Football game on DraftKings!
As always, if I did well please follow me on Twitter. If I did not do well my name is Matthew Berry.
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